Boffins predict final Championship table – Leeds ‘three wins away from promotion’, Stoke City’s survival chances, duo doomed



Leeds United and West Bromwich Albion could have promotion all-but sewn up in the next fortnight and Stoke City are well on course to stay up – at least according to the latest predicted Championship table.

FiveThirtyEight have used their supercomputer and bundles of data to work out the probability of what is going to happen over the final 10 games.

Luton (90 per cent of relegation) and Barnsley (74) are pretty much doomed already and Charlton (49) are expected to make it a trio of clubs going straight back down to League One.

That doesn’t mean that the rest of the clubs involved in the relegation dogfight can whip out the party poppers just yet.

There is still a 29 per cent chance that Middlesbrough will end up in the bottom three, for Hull it’s 17 per cent and Stoke City it’s 16 per cent. Wigan’s recent form has knocked their chances of going down to 14 per cent while it’s eight for Huddersfield.

Reading (two per cent) are almost on the beach.

Reviewing all the simulated seasons, Stoke average 53 points – so 14 to get in these final few weeks.

And it will take 50 to survive because Charlton are on course for 49.

At the other end, Leeds have a 97 per cent chance of going up – and they win the league in almost every two out of three simulations run by the analysts.

There is an 88 per cent chance that West Brom will book a promotion spot too, while it’s Brentford (41 per cent) who are the highest of the rest. Fulham (28) and Nottingham Forest (16) and Preston (eight) are not completely out of the running.

Fulham are expected to finish third with 77 points – so within three wins or so for Leeds and Albion, who are on 68 and 69 points respectively heading into this weekend.

poll loading

Where will Stoke City finish this season?

2000+ VOTES SO FAR



Stoke City’s remaining fixtures

07/03/2020         15:00     Stoke City v Hull City

14/03/2020         15:00     Reading v Stoke City

18/03/2020         20:00     Stoke City v Middlesbrough

21/03/2020         15:00     Wigan Athletic v Stoke City

04/04/2020         15:00     Stoke City v Barnsley

10/04/2020         15:00     Leeds United v Stoke City

13/04/2020         15:00     Stoke City v Birmingham City

18/04/2020         15:00     Bristol City v Stoke City

25/04/2020         15:00     Stoke City v Brentford

02/05/2020         12:30     Nottingham Forest v Stoke City





Source link

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *