If the EFL chooses to follow a precedent set by the Rugby Football Union, Stoke City will avoid relegation to League One from the Championship
The RFU, rugby union organisers in England, has confirmed that the current season will end for all divisions below the top tier. However, it won’t be a ‘null and void’ scenario.
Promotion and relegation will still go ahead, though, with places being decided using a ‘best playing record formula.’
While the formula hasn’t been fully explained, The Independent reports that the RFU will apply each club’s average points total, both home and away, to their remaining fixtures and decide the final league table that way.
Unless certain teams experience incredible and singular differences in their performances in home games compared to away games, this will not alter current standings in such a way to be a cause for concern.
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So, using what we know of the RFU method, we can use points per game – split between home and away fixtures – to determine the outcome of the Championship season.
Sports website FootyStats gives Stoke City a fair average split between home and away games. The Potters are earning 1.42 points at home and 0.83 away, around a point a game, if we round up.
However, by using remaining fixtures, four at home and five away, this method gives Stoke plenty of points. The Potters are good for 5.68 points at home, and 4.15 away. Rounded to the nearest whole will award a tally of 10 points.
If this is added to Stoke’s 42 points, they will get 52 – enough to secure survival.
Compared to Hull City, Luton, Barnsley and Charlton, the table doesn’t adjust – with the latter three going down, keeping Stoke and Hull safe.
While the FA, EFL and Premier League have stated that they intend to finish the season at some point, each passing day within the public health crisis caused by the coronavirus makes a playing conclusion a little more unlikely, meaning some sort of calculation might need to step in to decide the season.